This free investment newsletter is published by Richard Koza, ATWEL Global Macro hedge fund manager
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Issue 18/2010
30.8.2010


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Richard Koza Idea's

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Stock markets little bounced on Friday

Technical situation is still bearish for US stock market indexes. 

It looks like probably every big investor or portfolio manager went to sidelines during summer and enjoy holidays instead trying to buy some stocks.

Latest macro data really paint mixed picture. Can we expect continuation of recovery or we will see slowdown ? This is most important question right now for most of investors.

Companies publish positive results. They only do not want to present outlook for more then month or two.  And so companies do not strongly invest into equipment etc.

But mergers and acquisitions are popular again.  Companies are full of cash. They want to use it this way. We can now see interesting bidding war between HP and Dell for 3Par company.

Regarding currencies I am still bearish on EUR. It is now in pullback but I think more declines is in front of this currency.  This is global macro theme I follow in my fund. I do not think that EUR can offer much brighter future then USD, GBP, CAD, CHF or other currency.

We can expect that Asia will be winning more points. There is place for more expansion of economy there.  Asian economies will rise more then developed economies. Asian consumer will grow rich and Europe or USA will stagnate.  This is also theme I have in my macro theme book. I am looking for trade opportunities based on this idea.


Enjoy end of summer,

Richard Koza
portfolio manager
ATWEL Global Macro fund



Trading Tip

My technical strategies are based on usage of technical analysis. Chart patterns are important tool I use.


ETF Watch List

Bullish ETF list: FDN, IDU, TTH, IYK, TUR and more

Bearish ETF  list: SMH, IHF, DBE, EWA and more

More ETF and detailed trade setups I publish in ETF & Stock Trading newsletter



Stock watch list


Bullish stock list:   ARUN, AWK, ED, FAST, ........

Bearish stock list:  ALL, BCR, NTRS, PSSI, SSRI, V .........

More stocks and detailed trade setups I publish in ETF & Stock Trading newsletter


Silver is approaching strong resistance level. Will it break out or is it ideal opportunity to open short sale trade ?

Silver