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11/2009 

25.05.2009

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Sell the US dollar - current story ?


Hi,

trading volume during last week was very light. As such stock market indexes did not move too much from previous weeks levels.

But there were several interesting news last week
Richard Koza

Most discussed issue was probably decision of rating agency S&P to put Great Britain credit rating on watch for possible downgrade (from AAA level). Even this happened British currency (GBP) surged and ignored this negative impulse.

But much more impact to market has ideas , presented by Bill Gross from PimCo, that also USA credit rating could be downgraded in the future. It was impulse for sell off of US assets (USD,stocks and bonds).

Quite interesting divergence in investors minds.

One has to understand that situation in USA is not very convincing. Not only on economic front. But also actions taken by Obama and his team are worrying.

First  - ideas about implementation of welfare system similar to Europe.
Next -  rushing of order of law in case of AIG salaries and employment/management contracts . And also in case of Chrysler and GM where bond holders were punished by government and are pressed to decide to accept practically nothing against bonds they own.

It is very worrying because order of law , which is implemented in US and other developed economies, is maybe last competitive advantage to Emerging countries.

If investors will lose their confidence in US law , then they start to sell their US assets. I hope that Obama will soon realize that and will stop implementing of such "crazy" steps.

Happy trading, 


Richard


ETF Trading
 

ETF Trading strategy is one of my core trading strategies. I trade ETF short term (days to weeks) and mid-term (weeks to months). Do you want to see my trading ideas and setups ?

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Sector and ETF Watch List


Long ETF watch list: BDH, SWH, DBA, BZF, UDN , .....

Short ETF watch list: XBI, RTH, TLT, UUP

Complete lists of  tickers in my bullish and bearing ETF watch list  are included in my ETF Trading newsletter


US dollar index chart is bearish. I am monitoring development because I could use this situation for possible trades with ETF symbol UUP or UDN

USD Dollar index chart is bearish



Stocks Watch List

Long trade/ Buy watch list:  CNDS, CTAS, CTSH, GCA, SGP,.......

Short sell trade watch list:  AEP, AOC, ARE, IACI, XLNX,.....





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