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09/2009 

27.04.2009

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Bulls are still strong


Hi,

Bulls are in charge and do not want to allow market to do any pullback

Although last Mondays drop was very significant and can signalize that bulls are little tired of 6 weeks rally.
Richard Koza

This drop should be warning sign for any new bulls. Current situation is very choppy. I am in neutral mode as I do not see any clear signal for possible future moves.

Macroeconomic values and also earning are not so weak as was expected and so investors are little excited.

But I think it does not means that we are entering new bull market or that economy is already after turning point. Not yet. Decline is slowing but it is still decline.

So investors should be very careful with new long entries.

I would like also describe some info I noticed during last two weeks.

Have you heard about scrap-old-car program in Germany ?  Any buyers who will scrap car older then 10years will receive discount (paid from government)  if he buys new car. And do you know what is happening ?  A lot of old cars from Africa (Morocco) is being imported to Germany!  
So Germany  govt  pays for liquidation of old cars from Africa !

This example shows that such program - now very common in Europe - is something very bad. It had not to be arranged. But politics wanted to  push some money to citizens before election  to make them nice ! And recession is good reason to do it !

And therefore I do not think that Europe is in better shape then USA. But I often hear from EU politicians that EU economy (and debts etc) is in "good" situation  and US economy (and debts etc) is in "bad" situation.

I do not think that it is true.

Happy trading, 


Richard


 Extended hours trading
 

Trading outside of regular trading hours is possible but it is risky. 

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Sector and ETF Watch List


Long ETF watch list: BDH, FDN, FXI, BZF, UUP, .....

Short ETF watch list: DIA, XBI, PPH, XLU .....
Inverse ETF (long position):   RXD, SDP ...

UUP (USD Billish ETF ) sits on important support level

UUP sits on support



Stocks Watch List

Long trade/ Buy watch list:  DRIV, NFLX, IBM, NETL, RHT, RVBD, ....

Short sell trade watch list:  ABT, ENB, QGEN,MYGN, COCO, ......





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