Stock trading tips and ETF trading ideas

09/2008 

28.04.2008

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How to monitor stock volume during trading day

Sector and ETF
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Stock indexes near important resistances
Gold started expected decline


Hello,

last week presented stock markets as markets without any strong idea. Only some reactions in stock after earnings but generally nothing special

SP500 and Nasdaq retraced during last two months to current levels which are very near important resistances

Richard Koza

It is very important to watch how they will act there. Maybe FED interest rate decision and commentary will help traders and investors to move markets into new trend.

I would like to say that current levels of stock market indexes represent good entry point for short trade. Risk reward is very good especially for position trades. I plan to" test the water" with small shorts in SP500 and in Europe in DAX and Swiss stock index (SMI) . If this idea will be correct I will add into these trades.

I hope that after not nice moves during last two months markets will finally decide what they will do. A lot of big traders and  investors (banks, funds, hedge funds ...) are sitting on cash and are not going to the market. Sooner or later they will need to move cash into market one way or another. I think this week with FED and important macro data releases will help them to make decision.

Situation right now is still more favoring short side. But if markets will decide to make new strong uptrend again, no problem. I will go with it.

Also did you notice how gold dropped during last week ? I was prepared and enter short trade. I think gold can move to 800 level during next days or weeks.

Happy trading,

Richard


How to monitor stock volume during trading day

Entering of trade when strong volume is developing could result in much more profits. Therefore I monitor stock trading volume also during trading day.

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Sector and ETF Watch List

Most sectors are in neutral position as they retraced some way after January sell-off.

Long ETF watch list: GML, XLB,XLE,EWZ,RTH,IYR,UNG

Short ETF wacth list: INP,SMH,TTH,WMH, XHB,GUR, GLD and SPY (or Inverse ETF symbol  "SH")

This International ETF tracking Emerging European market presents signs of weakness or distribution. From my point of view this is good ETF to watch for swing or position short trade



GUR_INternational_ETF_swing_trade_strategy_short


Stocks Watch List

I noticed good weakness in Industrial and Telecomm sectors so I think there are several good stock picks for short trades in these areas.

Long Watch list:  NKE, CVS,PRGO,STR,OY,NYB, NHP, LSTR, HCBK, GWR, GIS, FRO, CBU

Short trade watch list:  PLL,WR,KMB, DNA, ENR, CASY,VIP, ROK




Questions ?

I will be pleased to reply to any of your questions. Do you have something to discuss ? Or would you like to read something in next issue of newsletter or on my web pages or in my blog ? Let me know .