Stock trading tips and ETF trading ideas

07/2008 

31.03.2008

Editor's Notes

Trading Tips:
Fibonacci retracements

Sector and ETF
Watch list

Stock watch list

Contact me

My blog

Simple stock trading
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Low volume in action


Hello,

after short lived rally stock markets gave all gains back.

It was typical bear market rally fueled mostly by short covering then by new buying.

Richard Koza
I do not like low trading volume which was presented during last week. It does not tell good story about markets. Big players are staying aside.

When I review March I have to say it was not good trading month. Trendless markets offered only few opportunities to trade. And news driven market stopped a lot of my trades. So it was necessary not to be aggressive and stay on sidelines.

I am still waiting for the time when volume will pick up  again. Then I will go with more aggressiveness to trades. During my regular weekend analysis I noticed some sectors already bounced from their important resistances so new downtrend  move could start soon.

I am preparing to trade aggressively when I will see some trends are starting to move.

Happy trading,

Richard


Fibonacci retracements

I like to use Fibonacci retracements in my stock chart analysis. It is simple tool available in every good stock analysis software.

It helps me to understand how strong the trend is. More examples and descriptions are in this article on my pages.

.... top of newsletter


Sector and ETF Watch List

Most of ETFs I scan are in position for short trades. It is still bear market and I think current rally already finished.

Long ETF watch list: UNG, GML


Short ETF wacth list: SMH, XLU, XLE, INP, XLY, XLF, XLI , TLT, INP, EWY, EWU, GUR, Short ETF like SDP and SIJ, (long trade = short sector)

International ETF monitoring European Emerging markets (GUR) is forming bearish continuation chart pattern. I think it will move down . I am monitoring for breakdown of this chart pattern.
(click to image to enlarge chart)


EWY_position_ETF_trade_setup_short


Stocks Watch List

Markets are still rangebound in lowest part of last trend move. It is bearish sign, so I am prefering to enter short trades. For long trades I wil pick only strongest stock - like stocks near its 52 week high

Long Watch list:  VVUS, HEW, ACV, GEF, SIAL, PRGO

Short trade watch list:  GOOG, AMZN, BA, AUXL, LLY, HON, JNPR, MNST, COP, FPL, AKAM




Questions ?

I will be pleased to reply to any of your questions. Do you have something to discuss ? Or would you like to read something in next issue of newsletter or on my web pages or in my blog ? Let me know .