Stock trading tips and ETF trading ideas

02/2008 

20.01.2008

Editor's Notes

Trading Tips:
Chart patterns I like

Sector and ETF
Watch list

Stock watch list

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US markets in bear mode


Hello,

huge sell off during beginning of January moved all important stock market indexes into bear mode.

It means that I will favor more short trades and will be more aggressive on short side then on long side.
Richard Koza

Although markets are not in good conditions, I made more  long then short trades during last 2 weeks. I closed practically all my short trades after first sell-off (as I mentioned in previous issue).

These long trades was in half position size and most of them in Biotechs / Health care areas. These sectors are very strong in current market environment and offer good long trading opportunities.

Market is sold oout without any significant bounce. It is harder and harder to find good swing short trade setup. I am very cautious right now in my trading. You know first rule of every trader - preserve your trading capital.

Btw. I moved with family to southern Spain to enjoy better weather . There is too cold in Prague. We will stay in Marbella, Costa del Sol for a month. It is also advantage of trading - I am able to trade anywhere in the world. I need only Internet access. And my wife is happy as she like warm weather and sunshine very much.

Happy trading

Richard


My preferred stock chart patterns

I noticed that I use same stock chart pattern regularly in my stock trading setups. My trading is based on chart patterns. I do not use too much indicators.

I described them on my web pages.

I will write more about trading strategies for these chart patterns in next issues of this newsletter. There are typical ways how to trade them and also advanced techniques I learned during my live trading . Both I plan to describe . So keep tuned.

Since that you can read basics about my preferred stock chart patterns I have on my pages

.... top of newsletter


Sector and ETF Watch List

I am in short of TTH (Telecom HOLDRS) I mentioned in my blog. It is breakdown trade. Partials already  covered and rest will have trail stop initiated

There is not too much candidates for trades as shorts need to pullback first. 

Long ETF watch list: XBI,GLD,IEF,TLT,EWM 

Short ETF watch list: XLE,SMH,XLY,XLI,EWH,EWO,EWU


Here is weekly chart of  XBI. It is in range between 59 and 62. But this sector is looking positive and  long trade opportunities could be find in this sector.

XBI_Long


Stocks Watch List

I think that markets are in strong downtrend but without any significant correction. Such correction is necessary for good short trade setups right now. I cannot find low risk short trade setup.

I am thinking about some long trade as markets and sectors are approaching their support levels.  I noticed that also strong sectors and stocks were affected by heavy selling last week. It can signalize final stage of fear and panic on markets. Such situation often means change in current trend and beginning of at least temporary up move.

I ran my 52  week high scanner yesterday and it offered me only small list of stocks. But they are the best candidates for long trades right now. Here is the list:

52 Week Highs List for Long trades: ABT,ACOR,APOL,AUXL,CEF,CHT, CLHB,CN,CVH, DV, GGL, GLD,HSIC, HUM,HWAY,ILMN,IVGN,MHS,MMSI,RGEN, SLV,SUNH,TEVA,VVUS,WMGI

I will check them to find good long swing trade setup.



Ask me

I will be pleased to reply to any of your questions. Do you have something to discuss ? Or would you like to read something in next issue of newsletter or on my web pages or in my blog ? Let me know .